Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.067440 0.079997 0.094083 0.111033 0.130853 0.153273 0.180536
2025-03-30 0.047702 0.063686 0.083668 0.110386 0.145069 0.188453 0.246716
2025-04-06 0.035644 0.052268 0.074904 0.107768 0.154015 0.216494 0.306961
2025-04-13 0.027496 0.043649 0.067279 0.104026 0.159313 0.238872 0.361367
2025-04-20 0.023117 0.039299 0.064477 0.105995 0.172100 0.272420 0.435028
2025-04-27 0.019579 0.035418 0.061474 0.106766 0.182620 0.303301 0.508001
2025-05-04 0.016769 0.032127 0.058721 0.107231 0.192303 0.333558 0.583173
2025-05-11 0.014686 0.029676 0.056892 0.108792 0.203725 0.367617 0.668206
2025-05-18 0.013277 0.028187 0.056468 0.112646 0.219447 0.410492 0.772912
2025-05-25 0.011210 0.025014 0.052377 0.108999 0.220867 0.428155 0.834751
2025-06-01 0.009869 0.023068 0.050322 0.108896 0.228794 0.458266 0.922349
2025-06-08 0.008605 0.021046 0.047780 0.107382 0.233633 0.482909 1.002048
2025-06-15 0.007846 0.020046 0.047282 0.110170 0.247795 0.527672 1.126938
2025-06-22 0.006896 0.018423 0.045179 0.109198 0.253999 0.557374 1.225338
2025-06-29 0.005971 0.016679 0.042511 0.106538 0.256143 0.578892 1.309210
2025-07-06 0.005121 0.014951 0.039591 0.102823 0.255367 0.594025 1.381079
2025-07-13 0.004694 0.014259 0.039073 0.104767 0.267832 0.639192 1.522928
2025-07-20 0.004257 0.013454 0.038138 0.105529 0.277566 0.679281 1.657684
2025-07-27 0.003858 0.012676 0.037146 0.105989 0.286601 0.718707 1.795041
2025-08-03 0.003547 0.012098 0.036598 0.107532 0.298533 0.766154 1.956009
2025-08-10 0.003350 0.011833 0.036875 0.111344 0.316775 0.830599 2.164037
2025-08-17 0.002923 0.010740 0.034606 0.107737 0.315009 0.845943 2.254314
2025-08-24 0.002655 0.010117 0.033617 0.107635 0.322680 0.885651 2.409129